Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Eastside Eagles Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049000700 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,236 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
42049000700 is a census tract in the Eastside Eagles area of Erie, PA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,236 residents. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Erie County average of 42.3%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units939
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$35,161
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1335, -80.0659 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastside Eagles scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$887 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Eastside Eagles compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 84%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 636Total filings over 7 yrs
- 16.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.5%Peak (2006)
- 106Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastside Eagles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastside Eagles
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.5 points above the Erie County average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 636 filings here across 7 tracked years. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Filings peaked in 2006 at 19.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 16.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000700?
Census tract 42049000700 in the Eastside Eagles neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049000700?
Median gross rent is $887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000700?
36.6% of residents in tract 42049000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 82th, minority 60th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 42049000700 considered part of Eastside Eagles?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049000700 fall within Eastside Eagles (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 636 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.20% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049000700 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049000700 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Kingtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Lakeside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Saint Mary
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Baldwin Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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