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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Eastside Eagles Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Tract 42049001400 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,349 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 42049001400 covers part of the Eastside Eagles area of Erie, PA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 28% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units609
Renter share75.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate72.8%
Median income$16,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Eastside Eagles
Very Low
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 31 tracts In Erie
Moderate
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#745 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1266, -80.0636 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastside Eagles scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
72.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$758 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Eastside Eagles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastside Eagles risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0014004.4Erieparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 426Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 16.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.4%Peak (2001)
  • 60Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42049001400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastside Eagles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastside Eagles

Annualized rent equals 55% of average household income of $16,435, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 73%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 426 filings here across 7 tracked years. At $758 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Erie commands. Filings peaked in 2001 at 18.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 16.4% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001400?

Census tract 42049001400 in the Eastside Eagles neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049001400?

Median gross rent is $758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001400?

72.8% of residents in tract 42049001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,349.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 56th, minority 67th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 42049001400 considered part of Eastside Eagles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001400 fall within Eastside Eagles (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 426 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.45% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049001400 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049001400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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