Greengarden Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie
Tract 42049002100 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,680 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
42049002100 is a census tract in the Greengarden Terrace area of Erie, PA. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.0921, -80.1105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greengarden Terrace scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Greengarden Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Greengarden Terrace
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,087, 25% above the Erie average.
Cost burden runs 35% here against 42.3% across Erie County. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions over 7 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 5.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42049002100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002100?
What is the average rent in tract 42049002100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002100?
Is tract 42049002100 considered part of Greengarden Terrace?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002100?
How does tract 42049002100 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049002100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.