Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Greengarden Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,680 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Greengarden Terrace is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Erie with 1 census tract and a population of 3,680 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,087/month sits 25% higher than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Greengarden Terrace vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.5% +8%

Erie: 32.9%

Average gross rent

$1,087 +25%

Erie: $870

Average HH income

$62,972 +45%

Erie: $43,397

Poverty rate

2.6% -89%

Erie: 24.6%

Renter share

15.6% -66%

Erie: 45.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greengarden Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Greengarden Terrace scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

16% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Risk score comparison

Greengarden Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Greengarden Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42049002100	4.5	3,680	35%	$1,087

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 31%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 25%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greengarden Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

31Total filings (sum)
3.04%Avg annual filing rate
5.1%Peak year (2001)
1.06%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Greengarden Terrace

What is the eviction-risk score for Greengarden Terrace?

Greengarden Terrace scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Greengarden Terrace compare to Erie overall?

Greengarden Terrace scores 0.3 points lower than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,087 vs $870.

What is the average rent in Greengarden Terrace?

Average gross rent in Greengarden Terrace is $1,087/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Greengarden Terrace residents are renters?

16% of Greengarden Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 3,680 residents.

Is Greengarden Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Greengarden Terrace sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Greengarden Terrace for landlords?

Greengarden Terrace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Greengarden Terrace?

Greengarden Terrace has 3,563 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.2%), Other / Multiracial (2.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greengarden Terrace

6.8 Little Italy 2 tracts · pop 5,683 6.2 Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,443 7 West Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,957 6.9 Eastside Eagles 2 tracts · pop 4,585 6.2 Central Eastside 2 tracts · pop 6,841 5.4 East Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 3,306

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greengarden Terrace.

4.6 Greater Kahkwa 1 tracts · pop 3,518 4.8 Walczak Park 1 tracts · pop 6,474 4 Glenwood Hills 1 tracts · pop 2,698 5.2 Southeast Hills 1 tracts · pop 6,642 5.4 Southwest Erie 1 tracts · pop 3,714 5.5 Grandview Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,255

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