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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Greengarden Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,680 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Greengarden Terrace maps to a single census tract in Erie, PA and houses 3,680 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,087, 25% above the Erie average of $870. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 5.1% of renter households. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 36% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.1% in 2006, is well off that peak.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #25 by risk, the lower third. At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $62,972.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Greengarden Terrace vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.5% +8%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,087 +25%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$62,972 +45%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
2.6% -89%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
15.6% -66%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greengarden Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Greengarden Terrace scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Greengarden Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greengarden Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Greengarden TerracNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Greengarden Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42049002100 3.3 3,680 35% $1,087
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greengarden Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 31Total filings (sum)
  • 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak year (2001)
  • 1.06%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Greengarden Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greengarden Terrace?

Greengarden Terrace scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greengarden Terrace compare to Erie overall?

Greengarden Terrace scores 1.1 points lower than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,087 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greengarden Terrace?

Average gross rent in Greengarden Terrace is $1,087/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greengarden Terrace residents are renters?

16% of Greengarden Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 3,680 residents.
Q5

Is Greengarden Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Greengarden Terrace sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Greengarden Terrace for landlords?

Greengarden Terrace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Greengarden Terrace?

Greengarden Terrace has 3,563 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.2%), Other / Multiracial (2.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greengarden Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greengarden Terrace.

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