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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Midtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,805 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Midtown is a one-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA, population 1,805. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 46%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 55% against 32.9% citywide, putting Midtown 22.3% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 56%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is a renter market: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 418 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 17.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 16.3% in 2006 against a 17.0% peak.

Average gross rent is $801, 8% below the Erie average of $870. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Midtown vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.2% +68%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$801 -8%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$24,911 -43%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
55.8% +127%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
77.3% +69%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Midtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Midtown scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
77% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
55.8% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Midtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Midtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8MidtownNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Midtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42049001300 5.8 1,805 55% $801
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 98%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Midtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 418Total filings (sum)
  • 15.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.0%Peak year (2001)
  • 16.30%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Midtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Midtown?

Midtown scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Midtown compare to Erie overall?

Midtown scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $801 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in Midtown?

Average gross rent in Midtown is $801/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Midtown residents are renters?

77% of Midtown households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 1,805 residents.
Q5

Is Midtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Midtown sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Midtown for landlords?

Midtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Midtown?

Midtown has 1,687 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (36%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Midtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Midtown.

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