Stadium District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,713 a month, rents sit 38% over what the rest of Lancaster commands.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. The voucher gap is 23.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 222 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2000, when filings touched 12.9% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 12.0% in 2006 against a 12.9% peak. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Lancaster, it ranks #8 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Cabbage Hill and West End. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $74,615. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.