Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Brinker Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethlehem
Tract 42095011300 · Northampton County, PA · pop 4,446 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 7/10, tract 42095011300 in the Brinker Terrace area of Bethlehem, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,446. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Northampton County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$58,220
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6069, -75.3387 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brinker Terrace scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Brinker Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 220Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2006)
- 45Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brinker Terrace
Against the Northampton County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Court records carry 220 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10. Filings peaked in 2006 at 5.7% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095011300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095011300?
Census tract 42095011300 in the Brinker Terrace neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095011300?
Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095011300?
11.5% of residents in tract 42095011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,446.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095011300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 57th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 42095011300 considered part of Brinker Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095011300 fall within Brinker Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095011300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.98% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095011300 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42095011300 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42095011300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42095011300
Parent city ↑
Bethlehem
5.9 / 10
Parent county ↑
Northampton County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
Clearfield Terrace
7.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Central Bethlehem
7.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Historic Bethlehem
7.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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