Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Edgeboro Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem

Tract 42095010601 · Northampton County, PA · pop 4,530 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Edgeboro in Bethlehem centers on tract 42095010601, which scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,530 residents. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,266 monthly, set against $78,446 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,657

Renter share19.6%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate13.9%

Median income$78,446

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6351, -75.3576 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgeboro scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bethlehem

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

13.9% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,266 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bethlehem

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bethlehem

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bethlehem

7.1

How Edgeboro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
28%Grade B
17%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgeboro

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095010601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010601?

Census tract 42095010601 in the Edgeboro neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42095010601?

Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010601?

13.9% of residents in tract 42095010601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,530.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 84th, minority 64th, housing 68th.

Is tract 42095010601 considered part of Edgeboro?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010601 fall within Edgeboro (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42095010601 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095010601 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 42095010601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.