Sayre Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethlehem
Tract 42095011100 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,622 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Sayre Park neighborhood of Bethlehem is where census tract 42095011100 sits, home to 3,622 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #4,090 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6046, -75.3781 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayre Park scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Sayre Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 19%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 6 yrs
- 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2004)
- 1Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayre Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Sayre Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.3% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42095011100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095011100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095011100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095011100?
Is tract 42095011100 considered part of Sayre Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095011100?
How does tract 42095011100 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Was tract 42095011100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.