Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York
Tract 42133000700 · York County, PA · pop 2,903 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42133000700 sits in the Royal Square District area of York eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Population here is 2,903. Against the York County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units988
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$46,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across York and the region
Centroid at 39.9568, -76.7211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Royal Square District scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$846 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7
How Royal Square District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 71%Grade C
- 19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 968Total filings over 7 yrs
- 22.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.3%Peak (2006)
- 147Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.
32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the York County average of 42.6%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $846, 17% below the York average. Court records carry 968 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 24.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for York. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 22.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000700?
Census tract 42133000700 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133000700?
Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000700?
14.4% of residents in tract 42133000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,903.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 42133000700 considered part of Royal Square District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000700 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 968 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.41% of renter households, peaking at 24.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42133000700 compare to York overall?
Tract 42133000700 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42133000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in York
Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Park Village
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwest Triangle
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Green Hill
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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