Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Federal Hill Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007000900 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,913 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 44007000900 covers part of the Federal Hill area of Providence, RI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,913. Against Providence County at 43.2%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 70%
Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share94.8%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$61,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8238, -71.4260 · click any tract to drill in
Why Federal Hill scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Federal Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 87%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2015)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 274Total filings 2020-21
- 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Federal Hill
This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.5/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, economic stress reads 7.4/10. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 2 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007000900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000900?
Census tract 44007000900 in the Federal Hill neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007000900?
Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000900?
29.7% of residents in tract 44007000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,913.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 66th, minority 33th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 44007000900 considered part of Federal Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000900 fall within Federal Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007000900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007000900 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007000900 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007000900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007000900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Elmwood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Dyerville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Related