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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,832 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007000200 · Providence County, RI · pop 6,634 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 44007000200 sits in the Elmwood neighborhood of Providence, Rhode Island. It has a population of 6,634 and an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,095/month against a median household income of $49,054 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 28% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,716
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$49,054

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In Elmwood
Elevated
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank — 54th percentileBottomTop
#20 of 42 tracts In Providence
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank — 78th percentileBottomTop
#33 of 145 tracts In Providence County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank — 85th percentileBottomTop
#39 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.7942, -71.4190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 000200Providence: 6.76.7Providenceparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2015)
  • 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 379Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 8 filings (1.52× baseline)2020-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 7 filings (1.04× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (1.28× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2021-09-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-02-01: 10 filings (1.90× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (1.90× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (1.39× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2025-07-01: 7 filings (1.87× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2025-11-01: 12 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Tract · RI
Elmwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Elmwood
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Elmwood
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000200?

Census tract 44007000200 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44007000200?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000200?

15.2% of residents in tract 44007000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,634.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 90th, minority 90th, housing 47th.

Q5

Is tract 44007000200 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000200 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.43% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 44007000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 44007000200 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000200 scores 6.6/10 — right in line with the parent city of Providence at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007000200 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Tract · RI
Federal Hill
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
7.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
College Hill
7.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Elmwood
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Parent city ↑
Providence
6.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
Providence County
All tracts & cities in the county
Parent state ↑
Rhode Island
Statewide rollup · landlord law
Sibling tract →
Elmwood
6.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Elmwood
6.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Elmwood
5.6 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
10 sub-signals · weighting · sources
Interactive map
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