Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence
Tract 44007014100 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 44007014100 covers part of the Elmwood area of Cranston, RI, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,808
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$66,726
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.7993, -71.4438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$928 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
5.5
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 97%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
At $928 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Cranston commands. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $66,726, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007014100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014100?
Census tract 44007014100 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007014100?
Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014100?
12.4% of residents in tract 44007014100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 90th, minority 81th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 44007014100 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007014100 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007014100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007014100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007014100 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007014100 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007014100 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007014100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Auburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Thornton
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Edgewood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Meshanticut
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Auburn
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Pocasset
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Knightsville
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Sockanosset
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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