Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Stimson Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007003601 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
44007003601 is a census tract in the Stimson Avenue Historic District area of Providence, RI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,696. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,010
Renter share68.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate34.3%
Median income$60,915
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8288, -71.3968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stimson Avenue Historic District scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
34.3% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Stimson Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 50%Grade A
- 38%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.3%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stimson Avenue Historic District
Cost burden runs 69% here against 43.2% across Providence County. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.6/10.
The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 0.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007003601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003601?
Census tract 44007003601 in the Stimson Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007003601?
Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003601?
34.3% of residents in tract 44007003601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 60th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 44007003601 considered part of Stimson Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003601 fall within Stimson Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.25% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007003601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007003601 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007003601 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007003601 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007003601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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