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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Stimson Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007003601 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 44007003601 covers the Stimson Avenue Historic District neighborhood of Providence, home to 2,696 residents. For landlords it grades 7.3/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,489 monthly, set against $60,915 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 21% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,010
Renter share68.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate34.3%
Median income$60,915

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Stimson Avenue Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#9 of 42 tracts In Providence
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#14 of 145 tracts In Providence County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8288, -71.3968 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stimson Avenue Historic District scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
34.3% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5

How Stimson Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stimson Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 003601Providence: 6.06.0Providenceparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.3%Peak (2016)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 16Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stimson Avenue Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Providence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Providence County average of 6.1 and above the Rhode Island statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007003601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003601?

Census tract 44007003601 in the Stimson Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44007003601?

Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003601?

34.3% of residents in tract 44007003601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 60th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 44007003601 considered part of Stimson Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003601 fall within Stimson Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.25% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 44007003601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 44007003601 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 44007003601 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007003601 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Providence at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 44007003601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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