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Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Buckeye Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013040516 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,504 · 57% of tract blocks fall in Buckeye

Census tract 04013040516 belongs to Buckeye, Arizona. It is home to 8,504 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,048 monthly, set against $91,583 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units4,315
Renter share1.9%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$91,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#798 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,487 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
National
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buckeye and the region

Centroid at 33.6767, -112.7240 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buckeye scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,048 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1

How Buckeye compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Buckeye risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 040516Buckeye: 2.52.5Buckeyeparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130405162001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buckeye

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.6% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040516

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040516?

Census tract 04013040516 in Buckeye scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013040516?

Median gross rent is $2,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040516?

4.9% of residents in tract 04013040516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,504.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040516?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 11th, minority 39th, housing 8th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040516?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013040516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.61% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013040516 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013040516 compare to Buckeye overall?

Tract 04013040516 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Buckeye at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye

Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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