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Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Arizona Traditions Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013040526 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,363 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

In the Arizona Traditions area of Surprise, census tract 04013040526 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,100 monthly, set against $65,385 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$65,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arizona Traditions
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 29 tracts In Surprise
High
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#537 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6455, -112.4433 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arizona Traditions scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,100 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Arizona Traditions compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arizona Traditions risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 040526Surprise: 2.42.4Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 15.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130405262001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (15.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arizona Traditions

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 15.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.0% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040526

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040526?

Census tract 04013040526 in the Arizona Traditions neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013040526?

Median gross rent is $2,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040526?

9.2% of residents in tract 04013040526 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,363.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040526?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 39th, minority 5th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 04013040526 considered part of Arizona Traditions?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040526 fall within Arizona Traditions (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040526?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013040526 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.02% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013040526 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013040526 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013040526 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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