Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Taos Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013040528 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,970 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 04013040528 in the Taos area of Surprise, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,970 residents. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units3,387
Renter share7.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$78,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6527, -112.4037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Taos scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,105 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0
How Taos compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2005)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 2.6%Housing insecurity
- 1.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.2%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 7.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Taos
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $78,658 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 2.6% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 0.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013040528
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040528?
Census tract 04013040528 in the Taos neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013040528?
Median gross rent is $2,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040528?
8.3% of residents in tract 04013040528 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,970.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040528?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 15th, minority 12th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 04013040528 considered part of Taos?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040528 fall within Taos (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040528?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013040528 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.86% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013040528 struggle to pay rent?
About 2.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013040528 compare to Surprise overall?
Tract 04013040528 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shawnee Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Veramonte
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arapaho Village
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arizona Traditions
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Bell West Ranch
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sierra
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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