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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Prasada Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061036 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,973 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013061036 sits in the Prasada area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,973 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$150,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Prasada
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#613 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.5877, -112.4030 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prasada scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,340 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Prasada compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prasada risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061036Surprise: 3.23.2Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prasada

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,340, 15% above the Surprise average. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $150,046.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061036

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061036?

Census tract 04013061036 in the Prasada neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061036?

Median gross rent is $2,340/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061036?

3.4% of residents in tract 04013061036 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061036?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 23th, minority 60th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061036 considered part of Prasada?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061036 fall within Prasada (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013061036 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013061036 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061036 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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