Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013071505 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,199 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Sun City
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013071505 in Sun City, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,816
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$51,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.6233, -112.2982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun City scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1
How Sun City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2003)
- 12Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 45.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun City
Cost burden runs 68% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $51,591, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.1% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 5.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013071505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071505?
Census tract 04013071505 in Sun City scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013071505?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071505?
20.1% of residents in tract 04013071505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,199.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 23th, minority 25th, housing 69th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013071505 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013071505 compare to Sun City overall?
Tract 04013071505 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071801
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071504
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
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3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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