Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013082209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,146
Tract 04013082209, home to 3,146 residents in Avondale, scores 6.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,280 monthly, set against $44,595 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units932
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$44,595
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4318, -112.2960 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2004)
- 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.7%Food insecurity
- 31.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.1%Transit barriers
- 38.1%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 28.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013082209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082209?
Census tract 04013082209 in Avondale scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013082209?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082209?
22.2% of residents in tract 04013082209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 100th, minority 95th, housing 48th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082209?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013082209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013082209 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013082209 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013082209 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082024
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Alamar
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082210
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
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