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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013082210 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,115 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Avondale

With a score of 4/10, tract 04013082210 in Avondale, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 23% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,371
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$82,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#344 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#627 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4240, -112.2989 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,771 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 082210Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 44.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 64.5%Peak (2005)
  • 89Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130822102001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (11.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (12.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 49 filings (90.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 89 filings (64.53/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 151 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 25.3% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2005, when 64.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 44.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082210

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082210?

Census tract 04013082210 in Avondale scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082210?

Median gross rent is $1,771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082210?

8.9% of residents in tract 04013082210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,115.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082210?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 91th, minority 85th, housing 36th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082210?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013082210 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.72% of renter households, peaking at 64.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013082210 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013082210 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082210 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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