Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale
Tract 04013082022 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,714 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 04013082022 covers part of the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe area of Avondale, AZ, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,714 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,811
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$62,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4665, -112.3169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,748 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 269Total filings over 5 yrs
- 188.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 375.3%Peak (2004)
- 70Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.0%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $62,326 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Food insecurity runs 27.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 269 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 375.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 188.5% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013082022
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082022?
Census tract 04013082022 in the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013082022?
Median gross rent is $1,748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082022?
14.0% of residents in tract 04013082022 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082022?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 79th, minority 81th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 04013082022 considered part of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082022 fall within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082022?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 269 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082022 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 188.51% of renter households, peaking at 375.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013082022 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013082022 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013082022 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013082209
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082024
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alamar
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082210
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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