Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Aderra Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013103208 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,272 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 04013103208 in the Aderra area of Phoenix, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 14%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,163
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$74,129
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Aderra
Moderate
Within parent city
36th percentile
#242 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
55th percentile
#459 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
52th percentile
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5904, -111.9871 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aderra scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,597 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Aderra compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
148Total filings over 5 yrs
6.23%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak (2004)
34Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2005
Filings climbed 143% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.1%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aderra
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 148 filings here across 5 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013103208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103208?
Census tract 04013103208 in the Aderra neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013103208?
Median gross rent is $1,597/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103208?
6.3% of residents in tract 04013103208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,272.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 26th, minority 16th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 04013103208 considered part of Aderra?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103208 fall within Aderra (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 148 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.23% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013103208 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013103208 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013103208 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.