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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Longhaven West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013109402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,744 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013109402 belongs to Longhaven West in Phoenix, Arizona. It is home to 4,744 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,289 a month against an average household income of $76,141 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$76,141

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Longhaven West
Very Low
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#156 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#221 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#538 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5059, -112.1776 · click any tract to drill in

Why Longhaven West scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,289 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Longhaven West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Longhaven West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 109402Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Longhaven West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Longhaven West

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109402?

Census tract 04013109402 in the Longhaven West neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109402?

Median gross rent is $1,289/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109402?

15.9% of residents in tract 04013109402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,744.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 80th, minority 83th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 04013109402 considered part of Longhaven West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109402 fall within Longhaven West (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013109402 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013109402 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109402 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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