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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Silva Mountain Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013116617 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,649 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 04013116617 in the Silva Mountain area of Phoenix, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,649 residents. 64% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 2% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$71,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Silva Mountain
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#209 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#376 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#670 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3694, -112.1040 · click any tract to drill in

Why Silva Mountain scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,125 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Silva Mountain compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Silva Mountain risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 116617Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Silva Mountain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Silva Mountain

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 79% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $2,125 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $71,736, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116617

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116617?

Census tract 04013116617 in the Silva Mountain neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116617?

Median gross rent is $2,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116617?

9.6% of residents in tract 04013116617 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,649.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116617?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 62th, minority 82th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116617 considered part of Silva Mountain?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116617 fall within Silva Mountain (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013116617 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013116617 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116617 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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