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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Citrus Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013116703 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,527 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

04013116703 is a census tract in the Citrus Hills area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,527. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 4% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,733
Renter share9.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$115,712

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Citrus Hills
Low
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#321 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#699 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3679, -112.0576 · click any tract to drill in

Why Citrus Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,745 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Citrus Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Citrus Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 116703Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 192Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 20.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.0%Peak (2001)
  • 35Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131167032001: 47 filings (25.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 39 filings (21.55/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (18.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 37 filings (20.44/100 renter HHs)2005: 35 filings (13.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Citrus Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Citrus Hills

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 192 evictions over 5 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $1,745, 10% above the Phoenix average.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 26.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $115,712.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116703?

Census tract 04013116703 in the Citrus Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116703?

Median gross rent is $1,745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116703?

6.6% of residents in tract 04013116703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 45th, minority 77th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116703 considered part of Citrus Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116703 fall within Citrus Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 192 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.03% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116703 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116703 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116703 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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