Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Peterson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe

Tract 04013319902 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,701 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 04013319902 in the Peterson area of Tempe, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,701. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 20% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,326

Renter share44.3%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate17.6%

Median income$68,186

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3679, -111.9356 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peterson scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tempe

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

17.6% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,899 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tempe

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tempe

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tempe

4.5

How Peterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

76Total filings over 5 yrs
5.08%Avg annual filing rate
8.7%Peak (2004)
19Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 to 2005

Filings climbed 90% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peterson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
25.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peterson

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $68,186, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 76 filings here across 5 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 8.7% of renter households were served.

Average gross rent is $1,899, 9% above the Tempe average. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319902?

Census tract 04013319902 in the Peterson neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013319902?

Median gross rent is $1,899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319902?

17.6% of residents in tract 04013319902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,701.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 18th, minority 60th, housing 74th.

Is tract 04013319902 considered part of Peterson?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319902 fall within Peterson (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.08% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013319902 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013319902 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319902 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org