Arizona Cowboy Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

At $794 a month, rents run 51% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 162 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 33.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 24.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $61,035, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.