Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Arizona Cowboy Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,270 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.6–4.4

Arizona Cowboy is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Mesa with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,270 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,176/month sits 27% lower than the Mesa citywide average ($1,620).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Arizona Cowboy vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.0% +55%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,176 -27%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$47,278 -40%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

17.6% +68%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

23.3% -35%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arizona Cowboy and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.4

Why Arizona Cowboy scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

17.6% below poverty line · Range 3.6–5.3 across tracts

4.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

Arizona Cowboy vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arizona Cowboy?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.8 points from 3.6 to 4.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.4 4.1 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Arizona Cowboy

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013422630	4.4	5,030	53%	$1,380
04013422628	4.1	3,682	66%	$1,163
04013420115	3.6	2,558	20%	$794

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 84%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 48%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arizona Cowboy

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,375Total filings (sum)
41.55%Avg annual filing rate
77.3%Peak year (2005)
35.76%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arizona Cowboy

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.1%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility shutoff threat
22.6%Food insecurity
18.6%SNAP enrollment
17.2%No health insurance
38.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Arizona Cowboy

What is the eviction-risk score for Arizona Cowboy?

Arizona Cowboy scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Arizona Cowboy compare to Mesa overall?

Arizona Cowboy scores 1.3 points higher than Mesa overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,176 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Arizona Cowboy?

Average gross rent in Arizona eviction laws Cowboy is $1,176/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Arizona Cowboy residents are renters?

23% of Arizona Cowboy households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 11,270 residents.

Is Arizona Cowboy a high social-vulnerability area?

Arizona Cowboy sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Arizona Cowboy have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arizona Cowboy is census tract 04013422630 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.4, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is Arizona Cowboy for landlords?

Arizona eviction laws Cowboy carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Arizona Cowboy?

Arizona Cowboy has 11,911 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.5%), Hispanic / Latino (28.3%), Other / Multiracial (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arizona Cowboy

3.2 Fountain of the Sun 6 tracts · pop 22,068 2.5 Silver Spur Ranch 2 tracts · pop 7,738 2.4 Copperstone 2 tracts · pop 8,545 3.6 Velda Rose Estates 3 tracts · pop 11,124 2.2 Continental at Superstition Springs 5 tracts · pop 21,203 1.7 Las Sendas 3 tracts · pop 14,325

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arizona Cowboy.

4.2 Lehi 1 tracts · pop 4,363 3.9 Mesa Patios 7 tracts · pop 24,912 3.8 Fuller Ranch 5 tracts · pop 21,917 3.7 Dobson Shores 6 tracts · pop 12,481 3.6 Tempe Cascade 5 tracts · pop 20,599 3.5 Velda Rose Estates 3 tracts · pop 11,124

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