Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lehi Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013420401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,363 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013420401 in the Lehi area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,363 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$51,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4575, -111.8269 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lehi scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Lehi compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 845Total filings over 5 yrs
- 43.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.7%Peak (2005)
- 209Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.6%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 18.6%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lehi
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,305, 19% below the Mesa average. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 845 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 36.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 43.1% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420401?
Census tract 04013420401 in the Lehi neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420401?
Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420401?
20.0% of residents in tract 04013420401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,363.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 63th, minority 74th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420401 considered part of Lehi?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420401 fall within Lehi (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 845 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.15% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420401 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420401 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420401 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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