Dobson Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $53,200, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,732 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,421, 12% below the Mesa average.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 31.3% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.