Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Leisure World Arizona Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422638 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,996 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

04013422638 is a census tract in the Leisure World Arizona area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 31% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,702

Renter share63.2%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate6.4%

Median income$64,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3860, -111.7103 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leisure World Arizona scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.4% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,631 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Leisure World Arizona compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

647Total filings over 5 yrs
61.84%Avg annual filing rate
111.4%Peak (2004)
164Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 to 2005

Filings climbed 264% over the past 5 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Leisure World Arizona

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 647 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 111.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 61.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422638

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422638?

Census tract 04013422638 in the Leisure World Arizona neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422638?

Median gross rent is $1,631/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422638?

6.4% of residents in tract 04013422638 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,996.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422638?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 44th, minority 56th, housing 93th.

Is tract 04013422638 considered part of Leisure World Arizona?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422638 fall within Leisure World Arizona (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422638?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 647 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422638 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 61.84% of renter households, peaking at 111.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013422638 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422638 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422638 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org