Leisure World Arizona Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 647 evictions logged in this tract.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 111.4% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 34.7% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #15 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Kingsgate and Continental at Superstition Springs.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,631, close to the Mesa average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $64,861.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.