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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Coronita Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013811500 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,559 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 04013811500 sits in the Colonial Coronita area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,559 residents. At $2,647 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Chandler commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 11% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units999
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$120,989

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Colonial Coronita
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Elevated
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#937 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3102, -111.7983 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Coronita scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,647 rent vs county FMR
8.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Colonial Coronita compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Coronita risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 811500Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 16.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.4%Peak (2005)
  • 18Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138115002001: 3 filings (14.29/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (19.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (14.29/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (9.52/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (23.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 500% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colonial Coronita. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Coronita

The voucher gap is 35.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 filings here across 5 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2005 at 23.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013811500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013811500?

Census tract 04013811500 in the Colonial Coronita neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013811500?

Median gross rent is $2,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013811500?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013811500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,559.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013811500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 27th, minority 61th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 04013811500 considered part of Colonial Coronita?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013811500 fall within Colonial Coronita (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013811500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013811500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.11% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013811500 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013811500 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013811500 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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