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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Arden Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013812300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,078 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 04013812300 sits in the Arden Park area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,078. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 28% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,938
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$103,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arden Park
Moderate
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2693, -111.8500 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arden Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,871 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Arden Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arden Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 812300Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 415Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 64.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 115.5%Peak (2003)
  • 72Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138123002001: 35 filings (32.07/100 renter HHs)2002: 77 filings (70.55/100 renter HHs)2003: 126 filings (115.45/100 renter HHs)2004: 105 filings (96.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 72 filings (8.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 106% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arden Park

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 415 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2003, when 115.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 64.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013812300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013812300?

Census tract 04013812300 in the Arden Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013812300?

Median gross rent is $1,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013812300?

2.9% of residents in tract 04013812300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,078.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013812300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 58th, minority 65th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 04013812300 considered part of Arden Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013812300 fall within Arden Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013812300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013812300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 64.65% of renter households, peaking at 115.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013812300 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013812300 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013812300 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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