Barrio Blue Moon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pima County average of 43.8%. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Food insecurity runs 29.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 885 filings here across 12 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 12.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.