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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Barrio Blue Moon Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,092 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Barrio Blue Moon is a one-tract neighborhood of Tucson, AZ, population 2,092. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $516, 55% below the Tucson average of $1,145.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

This is a renter market: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The filing record is not thin: 885 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 29.1% of adults, 11.3 points above the national rate. 19.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 12.5% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 10.2% in 2017 against a 12.5% peak. That places it #2 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Barrio Blue Moon vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.4% +8%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$516 -55%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$40,475 -26%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
25.8% +37%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
65.9% +37%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Barrio Blue Moon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Barrio Blue Moon scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
25.8% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Barrio Blue Moon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Barrio Blue Moon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Barrio Blue Moon: 5.25.2Barrio Blue MoonNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Barrio Blue Moon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019001302 5.2 2,092 35% $516
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Barrio Blue Moon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 885Total filings (sum)
  • 8.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak year (2007)
  • 10.22%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Barrio Blue Moon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Barrio Blue Moon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Barrio Blue Moon?

Barrio Blue Moon scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Barrio Blue Moon compare to Tucson overall?

Barrio Blue Moon scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $516 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Barrio Blue Moon?

Average gross rent in Barrio Blue Moon is $516/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Barrio Blue Moon residents are renters?

66% of Barrio Blue Moon households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 2,092 residents.
Q5

Is Barrio Blue Moon a high social-vulnerability area?

Barrio Blue Moon sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Barrio Blue Moon for landlords?

Barrio Blue Moon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Barrio Blue Moon?

Barrio Blue Moon has 2,096 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.8%), Hispanic / Latino (37.1%), Other / Multiracial (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Barrio Blue Moon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Barrio Blue Moon.

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