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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

West University Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019000401 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,099 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019000401 in the West University area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,099 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 37% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share78.4%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$39,788

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In West University
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 143 tracts In Tucson
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#46 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2341, -110.9663 · click any tract to drill in

Why West University scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$986 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How West University compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West University risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000401Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West University. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West University

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pima County average of 43.8%.

It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. At $986 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Tucson commands. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $39,788.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019000401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019000401?

Census tract 04019000401 in the West University neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019000401?

Median gross rent is $986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019000401?

41.2% of residents in tract 04019000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,099.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 3th, minority 54th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 04019000401 considered part of West University?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019000401 fall within West University (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019000401 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019000401 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019000401 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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