Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004056 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,078
Census tract 04019004056 covers part of Tucson, AZ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,078 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$71,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1851, -110.7961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,000 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 92Total filings over 12 yrs
- 4.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2012)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pima County average of 43.8%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 92 evictions over 12 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,000, 13% below the Tucson average. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 7.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Against average income of $71,103, annual rent is just 17%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004056
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004056?
Census tract 04019004056 in Tucson scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004056?
Median gross rent is $1,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004056?
6.7% of residents in tract 04019004056 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,078.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004056?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 45th, minority 64th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004056?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004056 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.30% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004056 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004056 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004056 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004432
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Jefferson Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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