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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Casas Adobes Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004621 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,709

04019004621 is a census tract in Casas Adobes, AZ. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,709. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pima County average of 43.8%.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 14% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$72,089

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Casas Adobes
Elevated
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#153 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#983 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region

Centroid at 32.3632, -111.0010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casas Adobes scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3

How Casas Adobes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casas Adobes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 004621Casas Adobes: 3.93.9Casas Adobesparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 117Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 2.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2004)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046212004: 25 filings (9.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (2.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 11 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casas Adobes

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 filings here across 12 tracked years. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

At $1,461 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Casas Adobes commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when 9.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004621

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004621?

Census tract 04019004621 in Casas Adobes scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004621?

Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004621?

6.1% of residents in tract 04019004621 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,709.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004621?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 64th, minority 18th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004621?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004621 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.44% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004621 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004621 compare to Casas Adobes overall?

Tract 04019004621 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes

Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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