Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Estates Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004434 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,110 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Tucson Estates
04019004434 is a census tract in Tucson Estates, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,110 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$76,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson Estates and the region
Centroid at 32.2133, -111.1682 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson Estates scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson Estates
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$786 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson Estates
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.0
How Tucson Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 14.6%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson Estates
Cost burden runs 59% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Average gross rent is $786, 37% below the Tucson Estates average. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $76,667, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004434
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004434?
Census tract 04019004434 in Tucson Estates scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004434?
Median gross rent is $786/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004434?
6.1% of residents in tract 04019004434 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,110.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004434?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 97th, minority 64th, housing 24th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04019004434 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04019004434 compare to Tucson Estates overall?
Tract 04019004434 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson Estates at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson Estates
Top eight tracts in Tucson Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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