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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Estates Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004424 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,682 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Tucson Estates

With a score of 3/10, tract 04019004424 in Tucson Estates, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,682 residents. 6% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pima County average of 43.8%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 7% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$62,277

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Tucson Estates
Elevated
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#223 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson Estates and the region

Centroid at 32.1316, -111.3142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson Estates scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson Estates
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson Estates
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.0

How Tucson Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson Estates risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 004424Tucson Estates: 3.23.2Tucson Estatesparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2005)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190044242004: 10 filings (5.04/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (12.19/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (7.40/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (6.96/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (5.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (5.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (6.28/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2017: 9 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson Estates

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 167 filings here across 12 tracked years.

At $1,118 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Tucson Estates commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 12.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004424

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004424?

Census tract 04019004424 in Tucson Estates scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004424?

Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 6% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004424?

3.9% of residents in tract 04019004424 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004424?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 91th, minority 69th, housing 56th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004424?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 167 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004424 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.02% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004424 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004424 compare to Tucson Estates overall?

Tract 04019004424 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson Estates at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson Estates

Top eight tracts in Tucson Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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