Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Estates Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004404 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,506
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 04019004404 in Tucson Estates, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,506 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,093
Renter share5.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$52,443
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson Estates and the region
Centroid at 32.1906, -111.0862 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson Estates scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson Estates
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson Estates
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.0
How Tucson Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 8 yrs
- 1.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 10.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson Estates
Against Pima County at 43.8%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,023, 18% below the Tucson Estates average. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 8 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Pima County average of 3.9. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004404?
Census tract 04019004404 in Tucson Estates scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004404?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004404?
8.3% of residents in tract 04019004404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,506.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 41th, minority 21th, housing 32th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 04019004404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.37% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004404 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004404 compare to Tucson Estates overall?
Tract 04019004404 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson Estates at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson Estates
Top eight tracts in Tucson Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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