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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Contempo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

Tract 06001440304 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,662 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06001440304 covers part of the Contempo area of Union City, CA, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,662 residents. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.2 points.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 10% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,359
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$142,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Contempo
Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Union City
Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#350 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5869, -122.0766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Contempo scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,230 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Contempo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Contempo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 440304Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Contempo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Contempo

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

At $2,230 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Union City commands. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $142,675.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440304?

Census tract 06001440304 in the Contempo neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440304?

Median gross rent is $2,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440304?

5.2% of residents in tract 06001440304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,662.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 56th, minority 91th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440304 considered part of Contempo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440304 fall within Contempo (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440304 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440304 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440304 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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