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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06029003208 · Kern, CA · pop 6,857 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 06029003208 in Bakersfield, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,857 residents. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,778
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$78,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#60 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Moderate
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 236 tracts In Kern
Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2886, -118.9986 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,784 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0032086.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The voucher gap is 29.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 7.9/10.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 49.2% across Kern County. At $1,784 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Bakersfield commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Housing insecurity runs 24.6% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 23.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $78,750. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003208?

Census tract 06029003208 in Bakersfield scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029003208?

Median gross rent is $1,784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003208?

10.0% of residents in tract 06029003208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 40th, minority 92th, housing 78th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029003208 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029003208 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003208 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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