Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003208 · Kern, CA · pop 6,857 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 06029003208 reflects conditions in Bakersfield in Kern County, California. That is riskier than roughly 66% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,784 monthly, set against $78,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,778

Renter share34.6%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$78,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2886, -118.9986 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,784 rent vs county FMR

7.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.6%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
28.7%Food insecurity
23.7%SNAP enrollment
14.3%Transit barriers
20.2%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003208

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003208?

Census tract 06029003208 in Bakersfield scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003208?

Median gross rent is $1,784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003208?

10.0% of residents in tract 06029003208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,857.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 40th, minority 92th, housing 78th.

What share of households in tract 06029003208 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003208 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003208 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.