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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003816 · Kern, CA · pop 3,190 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 06029003816 reflects conditions in The Polo Greens in Bakersfield, California. On the national scale it ranks #20,004 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 71% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $104,786 a year. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$104,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In The Polo Greens
Very High
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Moderate
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#152 of 236 tracts In Kern
Low
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#3,224 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3911, -119.1370 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Polo Greens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 003816Bakersfield: 7.77.7Bakersfieldparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003816

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003816?

Census tract 06029003816 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003816?

16.3% of residents in tract 06029003816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,190.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003816?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 91th, minority 69th, housing 13th.
Q4

Is tract 06029003816 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003816 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029003816 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029003816 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003816 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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