Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield
Tract 06029003816 · Kern, CA · pop 3,190 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 06029003816 covers part of the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,190 residents. The severe-burden share is 71%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$104,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region
Centroid at 35.3911, -119.1370 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Polo Greens scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5
How The Polo Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens
Against Kern County at 49.2%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.2 points below the Kern County average of 6.4. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003816?
Census tract 06029003816 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003816?
16.3% of residents in tract 06029003816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,190.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 91th, minority 69th, housing 13th.
Q4
Is tract 06029003816 considered part of The Polo Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003816 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 06029003816 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06029003816 compare to Bakersfield overall?
Tract 06029003816 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield
Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06029003002
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002814
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002001
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002815
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002002
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029000912
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002100
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002201
7.5
/ 10 · High
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