Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Novato Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06041103100 · Marin, CA · pop 7,228 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Novato
06041103100 is a census tract in Novato, CA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,228. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,619
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$169,127
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Novato and the region
Centroid at 38.1332, -122.6580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Novato scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5
How Novato compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Novato
Average gross rent is $3,501, 40% above the Novato average. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. Against Marin County at 51.0%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 0.7 points below the Marin County average of 7.3. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06041103100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041103100?
Census tract 06041103100 in Novato scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06041103100?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041103100?
2.5% of residents in tract 06041103100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041103100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 25th, minority 39th, housing 29th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06041103100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06041103100 compare to Novato overall?
Tract 06041103100 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Novato
Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Old Town
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06041105001
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Canyon Green
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06041104104
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06041104200
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Old Town
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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