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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059052437 · Orange, CA · pop 5,118 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

06059052437 is a census tract in the Orchard Hills area of Irvine, CA. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 19% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,908
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$160,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orchard Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#276 of 613 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#5,095 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.7365, -117.7349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Hills scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How Orchard Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0524377.8Irvineparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Hills

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Orange County average of 51.8%. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,501, 17% above the Irvine average.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052437

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052437?

Census tract 06059052437 in the Orchard Hills neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052437?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052437?

9.5% of residents in tract 06059052437 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,118.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052437?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 37th, minority 81th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052437 considered part of Orchard Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052437 fall within Orchard Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052437 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052437 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059052437 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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