Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: High , Irvine
Tract 06059062611 · Orange, CA · pop 4,641 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 06059062611 sits in the Turtle Rock Vista area of Irvine eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.2/10. It is home to 4,641 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,716
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$73,871
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Irvine and the region
Centroid at 33.6640, -117.8339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$2,575 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3
How Turtle Rock Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $73,871 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 2.2 points above the Orange County average of 7.0.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 60% here against 51.8% across Orange County.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,575, 14% below the Irvine average. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059062611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062611?
Census tract 06059062611 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059062611?
Median gross rent is $2,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062611?
26.3% of residents in tract 06059062611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,641.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 26th, minority 77th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 06059062611 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062611 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059062611 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059062611 compare to Irvine overall?
Tract 06059062611 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Irvine
Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Irvine Business Complex
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Myford
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
UCI - North Campus
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor View Knoll
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Turtle Rock Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Turtle Rock Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
El Camino Real
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Travata
8.8
/ 10 · High
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