Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059062611 · Orange, CA · pop 4,641 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06059062611 (the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood of Irvine, California) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,575 monthly, set against $73,871 in average yearly household income, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 30% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,716
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$73,871

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Turtle Rock Vista
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#1,701 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6640, -117.8339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$2,575 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turtle Rock Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 062611Irvine: 7.87.8Irvineparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Irvine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.7 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062611?

Census tract 06059062611 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059062611?

Median gross rent is $2,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062611?

26.3% of residents in tract 06059062611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,641.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 26th, minority 77th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 06059062611 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062611 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059062611 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059062611 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062611 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related