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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: High , Irvine

Tract 06059062626 · Orange, CA · pop 2,633 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06059062626 sits in the Turtle Rock Vista area of Irvine eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.2/10. It is home to 2,633 residents. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 35% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share91.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$61,184

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Turtle Rock Vista
High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#1,536 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6526, -117.8397 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$2,331 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turtle Rock Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.2This tracttract 0626267.8Irvineparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $61,184, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 51.8% across Orange County. Average gross rent is $2,331, 22% below the Irvine average.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #3,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062626

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062626?

Census tract 06059062626 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059062626?

Median gross rent is $2,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062626?

34.6% of residents in tract 06059062626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,633.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062626?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 10th, minority 78th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 06059062626 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062626 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059062626 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059062626 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062626 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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